Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Mercyhurst Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercyhurst Lakers +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Moncrief | 41 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Skylar Wicks | 36 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Ahmad Harrison | 33 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Victor Payne | 33 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Zion Russell | 28 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Gestin Liberis | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Tweedy | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Russell | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Paris Papadatos | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Trey Weiand | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Martin | 39 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 27 | - |
| D. Jackson Jr. | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Lemelman | 32 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| B. Blunt III | 30 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 11-12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| S. Lang | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| M. Ivanauskas | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Fuhrmann | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Gamble | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| O. Faran | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter