Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray | 35 | 8-19 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | -23.1 |
| Doyel Cockrill III | 23 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -8.7 |
| Marcus Tankersley | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Chauncey Gibson | 21 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Malek Robinson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -15.1 |
| Braelon Bush | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -25.1 |
| Corey Sands | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -12.3 |
| Daniel Zatsepin | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Lionel Larvadain | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -11.8 |
| Dailliss Cox | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Dakari Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.5 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Wicks | 35 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +28.8 |
| Chris Moncrief | 33 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +28.2 |
| Zion Russell | 30 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | +13.2 |
| Ahmad Harrison | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +18.1 |
| Victor Payne | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +24.6 |
| Gestin Liberis | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +20.4 |
| Paris Papadatos | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Brandon Russell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Cameron Tweedy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Trey Weiand | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
* = starter