Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 36 | 10-14 | 4-4 | 10-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 31 | +1.9 |
| Jay Rodgers | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | -1.9 |
| Melo Sanchez | 30 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | -1.8 |
| Max Frazier | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Elijah Parker | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4.8 |
| James Jones | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
| Roddy Jones | 14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +1.5 |
| D. James | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Ashton Reynolds | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.2 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Harrison | 33 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -5.4 |
| Gestin Liberis | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +7.6 |
| Victor Payne | 25 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +6.8 |
| Skylar Wicks | 24 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -5.3 |
| Ralph Martino Jr. | 23 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -9.4 |
| Chris Moncrief | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -11.0 |
| Zion Russell | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -1.5 |
| Brandon Russell | 16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Cameron Tweedy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
* = starter