Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -10.4 |
| Trey Deveaux * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Justin Amadi * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +0.3 |
| Mason So * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Luke McEldon * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 24 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +5.8 |
| Patrick Haigh | 23 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +18.7 |
| Elijah Espinosa | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Yakhya Diop | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.5 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Wicks * | 37 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | -6.9 |
| Zion Russell * | 36 | 8-23 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Ahmad Harrison * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Cameron Tweedy * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +9.4 |
| Ralph Martino Jr. * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Victor Payne | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Gestin Liberis | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13.9 |
| Brandon Russell | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.1 |
| KJ Swain Jr. | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Trey Weiand | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter