🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Long Island University Sharks Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% -
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.3% 91.7% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Island University Sharks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fuller 38 6-12 3-8 3-4 10 1 3 0 1 18 19 +2.0
J. Goings 36 6-9 2-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 0 16 15 -4.7
G. Gordon 30 6-10 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 4 12 9 -12.3
F. Meran 22 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 9 6 +4.4
M. Davis 22 6-18 2-8 3-5 3 1 2 0 0 17 5 -17.0
S. Lasu 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -18.0
I. Miranda 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 5 0 4 8 +2.4
M. Porter-Brown 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -0.5
T. Sheppard 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -0.4

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 35 11-23 6-13 6-6 2 4 0 0 0 34 17 +10.0
J. Epps 34 6-13 1-5 7-7 4 1 0 0 2 20 10 +11.6
S. Jones Jr. 31 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 2 3 6 6 +15.2
Q. Ballard 27 3-6 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 1 1 8 12 +15.7
S. Macura 25 5-6 1-1 1-5 7 1 2 1 2 12 15 +7.2
J. Davis-Fleming 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 0 7 -
J. McGhee 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -6.2
B. Walker 9 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -5.2
A. Achor 8 0-0 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 8 +5.6
D. Warren 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.2

* = starter