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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.6 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +24 (102-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Townsend 35 6-12 2-4 4-6 7 0 0 0 1 18 12 -20.4
Isaac Celiscar 31 6-8 1-1 4-6 5 0 0 0 2 17 12 -18.7
Samson Aletan 28 2-7 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 3 7 5 -17.6
Trevor Mullin 26 3-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 7 4 -13.6
Casey Simmons 21 1-9 0-2 6-8 8 1 1 0 1 8 8 -2.7
Devon Arlington 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -20.7
Jordan Brathwaite 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -17.8
Riley Fox 18 4-11 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 12 3 -12.8
Alvin Loving 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Courtney Wallace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
Jack Sullivan 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.0
Daniel Ogunyemi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Jeannot Basima 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amari Allen 30 4-7 2-4 5-8 9 4 1 1 0 15 23 +12.6
Aden Holloway 27 9-15 5-10 3-3 0 7 1 0 0 26 19 +14.6
Aiden Sherrell 25 4-8 1-3 0-1 6 0 0 1 1 9 7 +18.6
Houston Mallette 25 4-9 4-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 12 9 +22.7
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 24 5-16 5-15 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 15 5 +14.7
T.B. Bowen 21 2-7 1-4 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 5 7 +7.7
Jalil Bethea 20 4-7 3-4 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 15 12 +17.8
Keitenn Bristow 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 2 6 +10.8
Noah Williamson 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 3 4 +1.9
Jacob Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Preston Murphy Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter