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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +24 (102-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Townsend 35 6-12 2-4 4-6 7 0 0 0 1 18 12 -9.9
Isaac Celiscar 31 6-8 1-1 4-6 5 0 0 0 2 17 12 -14.5
Samson Aletan 28 2-7 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 3 7 5 -12.3
Trevor Mullin 26 3-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 7 4 -6.2
Casey Simmons 21 1-9 0-2 6-8 8 1 1 0 1 8 8 +1.6
Devon Arlington 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -17.9
Jordan Brathwaite 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -10.1
Riley Fox 18 4-11 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 12 3 -6.9
Courtney Wallace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alvin Loving 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jack Sullivan 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jeannot Basima 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Ogunyemi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.7

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amari Allen 30 4-7 2-4 5-8 9 4 1 1 0 15 23 +7.2
Aden Holloway 27 9-15 5-10 3-3 0 7 1 0 0 26 19 +13.9
Aiden Sherrell 25 4-8 1-3 0-1 6 0 0 1 1 9 7 +15.2
Houston Mallette 25 4-9 4-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 12 9 +20.1
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 24 5-16 5-15 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 15 5 +8.7
T.B. Bowen 21 2-7 1-4 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 5 7 +1.5
Jalil Bethea 20 4-7 3-4 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 15 12 +13.7
Keitenn Bristow 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 2 6 +11.3
Noah Williamson 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 3 4 +4.6
Jacob Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Preston Murphy Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter