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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +11 (104-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wes Enis 37 7-17 6-15 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 20 11 +0.5
Izaiyah Nelson 32 9-12 0-1 7-9 12 0 3 2 2 25 28 +13.7
Josh Omojafo 31 4-9 1-2 11-15 11 1 1 0 1 20 23 -10.3
CJ Brown 29 2-11 0-3 5-6 2 5 0 1 2 9 4 -8.5
Joseph Pinion 25 3-11 3-8 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 11 1 +5.2
Adriel Nyorha 19 1-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 2 -2 +0.1
Tristan Beckford 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 6 8 -4.5
Daimion Collins 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 0 3 -12.6
Isaiah Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.5

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Labaron Philon 31 10-15 3-5 6-7 3 7 0 1 1 29 24 +4.2
Aden Holloway 29 8-14 4-9 4-4 4 3 2 0 2 24 17 +19.0
Houston Mallette 25 5-8 3-5 1-2 7 1 2 0 1 14 15 +10.0
Aiden Sherrell 24 3-11 0-4 0-2 7 0 2 3 1 6 6 +8.1
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 22 2-7 1-3 5-5 3 1 0 0 3 10 4 -7.9
T.B. Bowen 20 2-6 1-4 4-4 9 0 0 2 1 9 13 -0.8
Jalil Bethea 14 0-4 0-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 1 5 5 +11.1
Davion Hannah 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -0.4
London Jemison 9 1-1 1-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -4.0
Keitenn Bristow 8 0-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 1 1 4 7 +2.7
Noah Williamson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 +4.0

* = starter