Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +38.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +42 (97-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Hayes * | 33 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -32.7 |
| Austin Nunez * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -23.0 |
| Jamir Simpson * | 27 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | -9.6 |
| Kaidon Rayfield * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Matheo Coffi * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -32.7 |
| Brent Moss | 25 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -32.8 |
| Daniel Akitoby | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.7 |
| Macaleab Rich | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -16.5 |
| Mo Njie | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +24.4 |
| Houston Mallette * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +26.8 |
| Labaron Philon * | 22 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 26 | +11.6 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. * | 21 | 4-18 | 2-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | +8.3 |
| Aiden Sherrell * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | +12.6 |
| Davion Hannah | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +26.6 |
| Jalil Bethea | 22 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | +22.5 |
| London Jemison | 18 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +14.8 |
| Noah Williamson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +11.1 |
| Preston Murphy Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.8 |
| Jacob Martin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.7 |
* = starter