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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% -
Points Off/Def 46.1% 53.9% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -10 (85-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ike * 33 8-19 0-1 5-6 11 3 0 0 0 21 16 +8.5
M. Saint-Supéry * 32 0-2 0-1 10-11 5 6 1 0 3 10 17 -
T. Grant-Foster * 30 9-16 1-4 2-4 7 1 1 2 1 21 15 +9.1
B. Huff * 26 9-12 0-1 0-3 8 2 1 1 2 18 16 +7.5
A. Miller * 15 2-8 1-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -0.5
S. Venters 23 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 12 5 +4.2
J. Warley 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -7.1
E. Innocenti 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 4 4 -9.8
B. Smith 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -10.9
D. Fogle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.6

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Philon * 37 11-18 3-6 4-7 0 7 2 0 6 29 14 -4.7
A. Sherrell * 30 6-9 0-1 2-5 6 2 1 3 2 14 15 -8.5
A. Holloway * 28 4-15 2-10 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 13 4 -2.9
H. Mallette * 26 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.4
T.B. Bowen * 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2.4
A. Allen 30 4-7 2-4 4-6 4 1 2 0 1 14 13 -0.3
K. Bristow 19 3-9 0-2 1-2 11 0 1 0 3 7 7 +3.4
L. Jemison 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 7 +5.2
D. Hannah 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7
N. Williamson 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.1

* = starter