Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | +8.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -7 (96-103). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aden Holloway * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Labaron Philon * | 29 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| T.B. Bowen * | 28 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Houston Mallette * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Aiden Sherrell * | 17 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Amari Allen | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 22 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Noah Williamson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| London Jemison | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Collins Onyejiaka | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Davion Hannah | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah Sellers * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dillon Mitchell * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Zuby Ejiofor * | 28 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Bryce Hopkins * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 9-13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Joson Sanon * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ian Jackson | 23 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Rubén Prey | 12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Casper Pohto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter