Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | +21.4 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears +6 (67-61). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeChent | 40 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Maggie Cavanaugh | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | +2.1 |
| L. Melero Sabat | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Kenzie Matulonis | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -3.7 |
| Elizabeth Lavoie | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +8.0 |
| Camryn Fauria | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Katie Ledden | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Carolina Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Averie Harding | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrianna Smith | 38 | 12-26 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 29 | +7.1 |
| Asta Blauenfeldt | 37 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Sarah Talon | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -2.1 |
| Lala Woods | 34 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Olivia Alvarez | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Emmie Streams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Lizzy Gruber | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.8 |
| Maddie Fitzpatrick | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.0 |
* = starter