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2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 89.2% 10.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“
Margin 85.4% 14.6% -9.7 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“

Actual: Maine Black Bears -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ace Valentine 32 8-11 0-1 0-0 8 3 0 0 2 16 14 -
DJ Armstrong 29 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 9 4 -
Jah'Likai King 28 0-7 0-4 4-4 1 1 1 1 0 4 1 -
Josh Odunowo 28 2-7 0-0 8-9 8 1 0 0 2 12 12 -
Caden Diggs 22 6-10 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 15 10 -
Riley Jacobs 17 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
J. Tanchyn 16 4-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 11 11 -
Cougar Downing 13 1-2 0-1 0-1 3 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
Paul Greene 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Tim Eze 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jake Stout 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Saahil Thakkar 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Logan Carey 33 3-8 0-2 0-3 4 4 1 0 2 6 5 -
TJ Biel 31 8-14 5-8 2-4 6 1 0 1 1 23 16 -
Mekhi Gray 30 1-10 1-5 4-4 2 3 0 0 2 7 0 -
Amare Allen 23 1-5 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Caleb Crawford 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 0 3 -
Ryan Mabrey 21 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Ace Flagg 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Yanis Bamba 14 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Emmitt Byther 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bashir N'Galang 4 3-4 0-1 4-6 3 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
Isaac Bonilla 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter