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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 82.3% 17.7% -
Bradley-Terry 80.7% 19.3% -
Margin 79.5% 20.5% -7.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 71.8% 28.2% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Log Adjusted 87.7% 12.3% -
Points Off/Def 64.9% 35.1% -

Actual: Maine Black Bears +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Long 34 4-13 2-9 3-6 4 3 0 0 2 13 5 -
G. Yalden 30 4-6 0-1 4-4 5 5 3 1 4 12 16 -
S. Blake 28 1-6 0-1 2-5 5 2 0 0 5 4 0 -
M. Nkugwa 27 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 4 8 -
TJ Hurley 25 8-12 6-9 5-6 3 1 0 1 1 27 19 -
B. Johnson 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Skipper 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 3 -
D. Simon 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
N. Barnett 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Michaels 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Biel 39 7-12 1-3 2-2 3 6 0 2 1 17 15 -
R. Mabrey 33 3-5 2-3 0-3 3 4 0 0 1 8 9 -
L. Carey 31 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 2 2 -
M. Gray 30 6-11 2-3 3-7 4 1 1 0 2 17 10 -
C. Crawford 26 6-7 3-4 6-6 1 4 2 0 2 21 19 -
A. Allen 25 2-4 1-2 3-4 5 0 1 1 1 8 10 -
A. Flagg 16 1-1 1-1 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 3 4 -

* = starter