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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% -
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +11.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 22.2% 77.8% -
Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Log Adjusted 6.3% 93.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% -

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Biel 35 4-11 2-5 2-2 7 3 0 0 0 12 11 +1.8
L. Carey 33 1-4 0-2 6-10 2 7 3 1 0 8 17 -0.3
K. Steele 28 6-9 0-0 5-7 5 0 1 1 1 17 14 -1.5
C. Crawford 27 2-8 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 8 1 +5.3
Y. Bamba 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 7 3 -16.7
R. Mabrey 27 2-8 1-6 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 5 6 +7.0
A. Flagg 12 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 2 4 -2.7
A. Allen 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -4.7
B. N'Galang 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Blake 36 5-7 0-0 7-7 2 6 0 1 3 17 16 -2.3
TJ Hurley 33 8-14 1-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 18 4 -1.7
B. Johnson 30 5-10 3-7 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 14 8 -3.0
B. Michaels 29 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 2 5 -8.2
G. Yalden 23 3-11 2-4 0-0 11 2 0 2 1 8 11 -4.0
L. Mari 22 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 0 3 9 +11.8
M. Nkugwa 11 1-2 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +15.6
D. Simon 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 3 7 +7.6
J. Skipper 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -0.3

* = starter