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Maine Black Bears 62
@
UMBC Retrievers 69
2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 7.5% 92.5% - ✓
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 ✓ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 14.9% 85.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% - ✓

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Biel 36 11-18 2-6 3-4 10 0 0 3 2 27 20 -1.4
Ace Flagg 35 3-7 0-2 0-2 5 1 2 0 2 6 5 -3.4
Ryan Mabrey 34 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 10 6 +1.0
Logan Carey 28 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 8 6 +6.3
Caleb Crawford 24 3-6 0-1 1-1 0 2 0 0 1 7 2 -8.0
Amare Allen 18 0-6 0-2 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -8.5
Bashir N'Galang 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -11.6
Yanis Bamba 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -1.0
Isaac Bonilla 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.9

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jah'Likai King 36 4-13 2-4 5-7 6 1 0 0 1 15 8 +4.2
Ace Valentine 34 4-11 0-2 6-8 3 3 2 0 1 14 10 +1.3
DJ Armstrong 33 3-8 0-1 3-3 4 1 0 0 2 9 4 -0.7
Josh Odunowo 28 0-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 0 2 +4.9
Riley Jacobs 24 4-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 10 11 -1.1
Caden Diggs 23 6-9 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 13 8 +9.0
Paul Greene 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1.4
Daylon Dickerson 7 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 0 4 6 +3.8
Cougar Downing 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +5.9

* = starter