Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williamson | 40 | 10-18 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | - |
| T. Tejada | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Doumbia | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Embeya | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Conway | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Coleman | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Womack | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Seck | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Schmidt | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Ndefo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rivera-Torres | 40 | 3-17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. McClain | 38 | 7-20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | - |
| S. Spartalis | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Collins | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Ball | 24 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Ray | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. Robinson Jr. | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter