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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% -
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% -
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Elon Phoenix +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Vahlberg Fasasi 33 1-5 1-5 4-4 2 4 0 0 1 7 7 -0.6
K. Pulliam 27 2-5 1-1 3-4 5 4 1 0 1 8 12 -6.6
J. Emanuel 26 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 3 5 -5.0
C. Lowe 25 5-10 1-2 1-1 6 3 0 1 0 12 12 -0.9
R. Miller 23 3-9 1-6 0-1 2 2 0 1 2 7 1 -2.8
R. Jackson Jr. 23 6-8 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 13 7 -
K. Brockhoff 17 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 7 0 -1.8
C. Haskins 15 4-8 4-8 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 12 7 -5.7
F. Lally 9 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 7 6 -2.0
K. Frazier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Cuthrell 31 6-11 0-1 6-7 7 2 1 1 3 18 15 +3.9
I. Harrell 31 5-8 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 13 11 +5.3
J. Carr 31 3-7 0-1 0-1 6 7 1 1 1 6 13 +0.9
N. Hull 30 5-7 4-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 14 12 +7.9
B. Cokley 30 5-10 1-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 14 8 +3.5
R. Pettus II 28 5-14 2-6 0-0 1 0 3 0 2 12 0 -0.1
D. Johnson 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 +1.9
C. Middleton 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 +1.0

* = starter