Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williamson | 36 | 7-16 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | +11.6 |
| T. Tejada | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +16.9 |
| J. Womack | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +6.1 |
| C. Embeya | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | +11.7 |
| J. Doumbia | 23 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +11.9 |
| T. Coleman | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| M. Seck | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +3.9 |
| C. Ndefo | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +10.0 |
| T. Schmidt | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.9 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cuthrell | 33 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | -4.1 |
| B. Cokley | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -5.0 |
| R. Pettus II | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -14.7 |
| J. Carr | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11.6 |
| I. Harrell | 28 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -10.9 |
| K. Klaczek | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -14.6 |
| D. Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.7 |
| C. Middleton | 9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| N. Hull | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| I. Garmendia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
* = starter