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2026-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% -
Points Off/Def 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Elon Phoenix -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williamson 36 7-16 6-9 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 24 15 +11.6
T. Tejada 32 4-11 2-4 3-5 3 1 2 0 0 13 8 +16.9
J. Womack 24 4-9 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 2 +6.1
C. Embeya 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 3 1 0 6 14 +11.7
J. Doumbia 23 5-13 0-3 2-3 6 1 1 1 1 12 7 +11.9
T. Coleman 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.9
M. Seck 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 +3.9
C. Ndefo 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 +10.0
T. Schmidt 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -1 +4.9

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Cuthrell 33 4-10 2-8 7-10 7 2 1 0 2 17 15 -4.1
B. Cokley 30 4-9 1-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 10 5 -5.0
R. Pettus II 29 2-5 2-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 -14.7
J. Carr 29 1-6 0-2 0-0 6 6 1 0 2 2 7 -11.6
I. Harrell 28 4-8 3-7 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 12 7 -10.9
K. Klaczek 24 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 2 3 7 6 -14.6
D. Johnson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -4.7
C. Middleton 9 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.8
N. Hull 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.9
I. Garmendia 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -4.0

* = starter