Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 40 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 13-14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 20 | +10.5 |
| J. DeCady | 39 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +12.5 |
| P. Edmead | 39 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +8.8 |
| G. Plotnikov | 38 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | +11.8 |
| V. Onuetu | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +4.3 |
| S. Sunday | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +8.2 |
| J. Roberts | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| A. Tsynkevich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| J. Reaves | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Tejada | 40 | 6-20 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | -10.1 |
| D. Williamson | 39 | 2-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | -10.4 |
| T. Coleman | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -4.5 |
| C. Embeya | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -5.4 |
| J. Womack | 27 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -10.9 |
| C. Ndefo | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -7.1 |
| T. Schmidt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| M. Seck | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.0 |
| R. Conway | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| R. Skerry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter