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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Monmouth Hawks Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Towson Tigers -14 (48-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ray 40 1-7 1-5 4-4 5 1 1 1 1 7 7 -3.8
J. Rivera-Torres 39 7-16 3-9 4-4 6 4 0 0 4 21 11 -1.8
J. Collins 30 0-4 0-3 4-6 5 3 2 1 5 4 6 -1.1
S. Spartalis 24 5-7 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 1 3 10 5 -2.3
A. Ball 21 4-4 0-0 4-4 8 0 1 0 0 12 17 -0.6
C. Robinson Jr. 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 4 3 -1.4
D. Muordar 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 4 0 4 7 -
A. Martinez 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -2.7
Q. Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
L. Orchard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
J. Leahy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Tejada 36 2-8 2-5 3-4 5 3 1 1 2 9 9 +1.2
D. Williamson 36 5-13 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 11 -1 +1.0
J. Womack 27 4-12 2-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 10 4 +3.5
T. Schmidt 24 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 6 4 +4.0
C. Embeya 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 2 4 6 -0.7
M. Seck 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 6 9 +4.7
J. Doumbia 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -0.1
C. Ndefo 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 +3.6
R. Conway 9 0-6 0-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 +2.9
T. Coleman 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -0.1
R. Skerry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter