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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers Hampton Pirates Spread Result
Elo 74.9% 25.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% -
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% -
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% -
Points Off/Def 59.9% 40.1% -

Actual: Hampton Pirates +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williamson 38 4-15 3-11 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 11 0 -2.9
T. Tejada 37 3-13 0-3 10-13 4 1 0 0 1 16 7 +3.3
J. Womack 25 3-5 0-2 1-1 2 2 2 0 0 7 8 +0.7
C. Embeya 24 3-4 0-0 2-7 8 1 0 1 1 8 13 -2.3
C. Ndefo 21 3-5 0-1 3-4 4 0 1 1 2 9 8 -3.6
T. Coleman 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.4
M. Seck 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -0.5
J. Doumbia 14 2-7 0-1 1-1 6 0 1 0 3 5 2 -7.3
T. Schmidt 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.7

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gaines-Wyatt 35 4-8 0-2 7-9 3 3 1 0 3 15 11 +2.6
D. Johnson 34 5-11 1-4 3-3 8 0 0 0 1 14 10 +3.0
E. Kennedy 30 6-14 0-4 2-4 4 4 3 1 0 14 12 +5.8
C. Watson 25 2-2 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
P. Oduro 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.6
K. Williams 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 +9.6
X. Long 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -7.7
A. Haskins 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 +0.0
E. Strothers 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -6.8
E. Rink 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 +0.1

* = starter