Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Celichowski | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Eli Robinson | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -4.0 |
| Kam Sanders | 31 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | -4.0 |
| Caleb Walker | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Lucas Hobin | 20 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Kolby Gilles | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Josh Gatete | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -19.8 |
| Kyle Marshall | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -18.1 |
| Justin Hinds | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Orme | 36 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | +2.1 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 33 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +6.0 |
| Nic McClain | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | +10.0 |
| Jabez Jenkins | 26 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Brigham Rogers | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +21.2 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.0 |
| Aidan Noyes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.1 |
| Win Miller | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -8.9 |
| Isaiah West | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +14.9 |
| Jack Smiley | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Eoin Dillon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.4 |
| Graydon Lemke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Robbins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Dykstra | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cooper Haynes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter