Model Predictions
| Model | Georgetown Hoyas | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Mack * | 44 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | -7.0 |
| KJ Lewis * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 15 | +0.3 |
| Julius Halaifonua * | 34 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -10.8 |
| Isaiah Abraham * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Caleb Williams * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jayden Fort | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -17.1 |
| Jeremiah Williams | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Harris-Smith | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Langston Love | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett * | 38 | 4-19 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -2 | +4.5 |
| Keonte Jones * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery * | 37 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Jordan Derkack * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +2.7 |
| Amael L'Etang * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 20 | +2.2 |
| Bryce Heard | 18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +12.9 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Jacob Conner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.3 |
| Jaiun Simon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +12.5 |
* = starter