Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Marville | 32 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | -3.2 |
| V. Pinedo | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | -2.7 |
| KJ Younger | 29 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -1.0 |
| N. Norgaard | 28 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -2.8 |
| D. Whitehead Jr. | 26 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Efinda | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -0.9 |
| J. Neely | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| A. Mandian | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 |
| D. Kauzonas | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.1 |
| C. Bynum | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Booth | 39 | 13-28 | 11-22 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 19 | +2.6 |
| K. Norris | 32 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +3.9 |
| C. Norris | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +7.4 |
| D. Faulkner | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +5.7 |
| I. Campbell-Finch | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.2 |
| J. Pollard | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +3.7 |
| W. Shaver | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -3.0 |
| K. Martin | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Z. Wilburn | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.1 |
| C. Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bjornstad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Lamey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter