Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Booth | 40 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +2.3 |
| C. Norris | 38 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +0.9 |
| K. Norris | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -0.4 |
| D. Faulkner | 28 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | +2.4 |
| Z. Wilburn | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +7.7 |
| I. Campbell-Finch | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.9 |
| K. Martin | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5.6 |
| W. Shaver | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.9 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Perkins II | 36 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Z. Williams | 35 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 4 | -5.0 |
| B. Okojie | 34 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | -4.9 |
| A. Mighty | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 | -4.6 |
| B. Shoulders | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.1 |
| C. Serven | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -1.7 |
| T. Gross | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.8 |
| K. Cuffe Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
* = starter