Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth | 40 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Cade Norris | 38 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Keaton Norris | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Faulkner | 28 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Zion Wilburn | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kam Martin | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Will Shaver | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Perkins II | 36 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Zaire Williams | 35 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Baraka Okojie | 34 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Armani Mighty | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Brady Shoulders | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Connor Serven | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tristan Gross | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter