Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | +9.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -4 (90-94). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Robison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Frison * | 39 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Brennan Watkins * | 35 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Teddy Washington Jr. * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tate Darner * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Makai Richards * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Billy Smith | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Collin Mulholland | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Josh Bowman | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jikari Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie * | 40 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Brady Shoulders * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -17.0 |
| Zaire Williams * | 33 | 9-14 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Armani Mighty * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Connor Serven | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Quinton Perkins II | 24 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tristan Gross | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter