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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Mercer Bears -4 (90-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Frison 39 9-14 1-4 6-6 4 5 2 0 0 25 22 -
B. Watkins 35 7-10 3-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 19 15 -
T. Washington Jr. 29 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
B. Smith 28 3-7 2-5 4-4 8 0 1 0 0 12 14 -
T. Darner 25 2-5 2-4 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 8 3 -
M. Richards 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
C. Mulholland 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Bowman 8 4-5 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Johnson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
P. Robison 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Okojie 40 7-16 3-6 3-5 3 3 0 0 2 20 8 -
B. Shoulders 35 3-6 0-3 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 10 9 -
Z. Williams 33 9-14 7-11 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 27 17 -
A. Mighty 31 6-8 0-0 5-12 7 0 0 0 0 17 16 -
Q. Perkins II 24 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 2 1 8 8 -
C. Serven 24 3-6 0-1 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 8 7 -
K. Cuffe Jr. 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Gross 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter