Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +20 (69-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie | 35 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Armani Mighty | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brady Shoulders | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zaire Williams | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Connor Serven | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Quinton Perkins II | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tristan Gross | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bendji Pierre | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaydon Cole | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Braeden Carlsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| TJ Grant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Pero Zubac | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Norris | 30 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Cade Norris | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jadin Booth | 29 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 14-14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Dylan Faulkner | 23 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kam Martin | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Will Shaver | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Zion Wilburn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaxon Pollard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Judson Bjornstad | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter