Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +20 (69-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Okojie | 35 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| A. Mighty | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Shoulders | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Williams | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Cuffe Jr. | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Serven | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Q. Perkins II | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Gross | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Pierre | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cole | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Carlsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| TJ Grant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Zubac | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Norris | 30 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Norris | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| I. Campbell-Finch | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Booth | 29 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 14-14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| D. Faulkner | 23 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| K. Martin | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| W. Shaver | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Z. Wilburn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pollard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bjornstad | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter