Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Wofford Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wofford Terriers +3 (80-77). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 12-12 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | -6.2 |
| Zaire Williams * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Armani Mighty * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -7.9 |
| Brady Shoulders * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -19.1 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -15.8 |
| Connor Serven | 21 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +8.1 |
| Tristan Gross | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Bendji Pierre | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
Wofford Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Machowski * | 40 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Chace Watley * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Kahmare Holmes * | 35 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24 | +14.1 |
| Brian Sumpter * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +8.6 |
| Cayden Vasko * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +19.0 |
| Brendan Rigsbee | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -11.6 |
| Rex Stirling | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Jayden Tyler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
* = starter