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2026-01-23

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +18.9 โœ“ (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 8.4% 91.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Logan Applegate 35 5-13 4-9 4-5 6 0 1 0 1 18 11 -4.0
Braxton Williams 33 3-10 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 8 1 -2.8
Sola Adebisi 29 2-3 1-1 0-4 3 1 0 0 2 5 4 -4.7
Eze Wali 24 2-6 0-2 0-1 3 6 0 0 0 4 7 +1.6
Christian Moore 16 2-5 2-4 2-5 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Marcos Gonzales 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 -1 +1.4
Dante Kearse 12 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 8 5 +3.8
Keynan Davis 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.4
Cassius Bonjasky 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 +6.9
Simeon German 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -5.4
Logan Menefee 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.4
Gabe Hernandez 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.8

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Smith 28 6-11 5-8 0-0 2 5 3 1 1 17 16 +4.9
Brian Taylor 23 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
Blake Barkley 22 5-8 0-1 4-4 10 1 1 0 1 14 17 -1.2
Cam Morris III 21 6-8 1-2 3-5 4 2 0 1 3 16 12 +10.0
Maki Johnson 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 +2.1
Allen Strothers 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 5 2 0 0 2 11 -2.8
Isaiah Sutherland 19 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 1 -9.1
Jordan McCullum 17 3-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 3 1 7 9 +1.5
Gabe Sisk 17 1-3 0-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 6 9 -9.2
Milton Matthews 13 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 6 7 +2.4

* = starter