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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs VMI Keydets Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 ✓ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% - ✓

Actual: VMI Keydets -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sola Adebisi 38 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 1 4 12 +5.8
Braxton Williams 33 7-11 3-6 5-5 3 1 1 0 2 22 14 +4.6
Marcos Gonzales 28 3-8 1-1 5-6 5 4 2 0 2 12 13 +0.7
Christian Moore 27 4-9 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 10 8 -
Carter Kingsbury 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 7 +4.8
Eze Wali 14 1-2 0-0 9-10 1 2 0 0 2 11 10 +5.1
Keynan Davis 14 1-2 0-1 6-9 6 2 1 0 0 8 15 +0.7
Dante Kearse 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -0.2
Simeon German 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0
Logan Applegate 8 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 +0.9
Gabe Hernandez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.9

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 38 4-12 4-12 8-10 10 1 1 0 1 20 19 -6.1
Tan Yildizoglu 36 3-8 1-3 2-4 1 8 0 0 3 9 7 -6.1
AJ Clark 27 5-6 1-1 2-2 6 0 3 0 0 13 16 -4.0
Cal Liston 26 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 0 4 -1.9
Mario Tatum Jr. 26 5-8 1-3 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 12 7 -5.1
Linus Holmstrom 21 2-6 1-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -7.8
Jaylen Pazon 20 2-6 0-0 4-6 2 1 0 0 2 8 3 -0.8
Walker Andrews 4 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.0
Mason Lawson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter