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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% - ✓

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -10 (92-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armani Mighty 35 7-7 0-0 6-11 13 0 2 2 3 20 27 +10.5
Baraka Okojie 33 5-14 1-4 14-18 3 3 0 0 2 25 15 +5.7
Brady Shoulders 32 3-5 1-1 1-2 5 5 1 1 1 8 14 -0.3
Zaire Williams 27 5-7 3-5 4-4 1 1 1 0 3 17 10 +2.6
Kyle Cuffe Jr. 19 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 3 +6.7
Connor Serven 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 4 3 +8.1
Tristan Gross 17 3-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 8 7 -7.2
Quinton Perkins II 15 2-4 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 8 5 -4.3
Bendji Pierre 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.6

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Neely 36 3-10 0-2 7-7 7 3 2 0 2 13 13 -2.1
KJ Younger 30 7-16 1-6 6-7 1 1 2 0 0 21 9 -4.5
Lilian Marville 29 7-11 2-4 2-4 3 4 1 0 1 18 14 +1.6
Donald Whitehead Jr. 29 4-10 3-7 1-2 0 1 2 0 0 12 5 -
Valentino Pinedo 28 6-9 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 2 13 10 +2.1
Noah Norgaard 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 +8.0
Clinton Efinda 16 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 8 +1.8
Domas Kauzonas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.4
Landon King 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -9.7
Assane Mandian 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5

* = starter