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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Neely 29 2-7 0-0 6-8 13 2 0 0 3 10 15 -21.8
KJ Younger 29 5-12 0-4 3-3 7 0 0 0 1 13 7 -13.1
Donald Whitehead Jr. 29 2-9 1-7 4-6 1 1 2 0 4 9 0 -
Noah Norgaard 26 3-6 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 8 -2 -19.9
Lilian Marville 21 1-3 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 4 5 1 -12.5
Valentino Pinedo 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 +1.4
Clinton Efinda 17 1-5 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 4 1 -14.4
Assane Mandian 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 3 4 +0.2
Domas Kauzonas 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -9.0
Clyde Bailey II 3 2-2 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 +1.2
Chane Bynum 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.0
Braylen Bowman 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Smith 31 4-9 1-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 9 8 +13.8
Blake Barkley 29 11-14 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 24 15 +20.0
Cam Morris III 27 6-10 0-2 1-2 6 3 3 1 2 13 14 +7.7
Brian Taylor 27 6-10 0-0 0-0 2 5 5 0 1 12 13 -
Jordan McCullum 25 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 2 2 3 4 +10.3
Allen Strothers 23 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 7 4 +6.3
Gabe Sisk 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 +1.2
Maki Johnson 11 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 3 0 0 8 8 +13.9
Isaiah Sutherland 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 +6.9
Milton Matthews 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.5
Joseph Carter 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0

* = starter