Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth | 40 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | -7.3 |
| Keaton Norris | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Cade Norris | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Dylan Faulkner | 27 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | -1.1 |
| Kam Martin | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Judson Bjornstad | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Zion Wilburn | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.2 |
| Will Shaver | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Jaxon Pollard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Caleb Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Darner | 31 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Jordan Frison | 30 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +10.1 |
| Brennan Watkins | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Billy Smith | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Jikari Johnson | 23 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +9.5 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. | 21 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -3.0 |
| Makai Richards | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -7.4 |
| Houston Holland | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +13.5 |
| Parker Robison | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Josh Bowman | 6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +7.1 |
* = starter