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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 โœ“ (21.3 off)
Pythagorean 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“

Actual: Mercer Bears +38 (101-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Logan Applegate 31 6-12 4-9 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 16 9 -6.7
Braxton Williams 25 3-8 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 1 3 9 2 -11.5
Sola Adebisi 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 -6.4
Eze Wali 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 2 0 5 -7.9
Christian Moore 23 5-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 12 9 -
Carter Kingsbury 23 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 6 0 -7.5
Simeon German 14 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -0.7
Dante Kearse 14 3-6 2-4 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 10 3 +1.7
Marcos Gonzales 10 1-3 1-2 2-4 0 1 1 0 1 5 3 -1.5
Gabe Hernandez 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 +2.4
Cassius Bonjasky 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armani Mighty 27 7-10 0-0 4-4 11 1 1 1 2 18 20 +9.4
Baraka Okojie 25 4-5 2-2 4-6 0 5 1 0 3 14 12 +3.1
Quinton Perkins II 22 6-10 4-7 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 18 11 +2.7
Zaire Williams 22 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 9 5 +9.2
Tristan Gross 21 5-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 11 10 +3.8
Brady Shoulders 21 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 4 1 1 1 5 9 +3.4
Kyle Cuffe Jr. 20 3-5 2-3 3-3 1 0 1 0 1 11 7 +3.4
Connor Serven 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 8 +1.4
Bendji Pierre 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 +1.0
TJ Grant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -0.1
Pero Zubac 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1
Alex Koch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1
Jaydon Cole 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.1
Braeden Carlsen 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter