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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 โœ— (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Trimble 36 6-13 3-5 2-3 2 3 0 0 1 17 8 -2.6
Caleb Wilson 34 9-16 0-0 2-5 15 2 0 3 2 20 22 -10.5
Henri Veesaar 32 7-12 2-5 1-3 10 5 0 1 2 17 19 +4.6
Jarin Stevenson 27 3-7 0-4 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 6 9 -4.7
Derek Dixon 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 3 4 -2.9
Kyan. Evans 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 1 +0.5
Jonathan Powell 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 +2.7
Luka Bogavac 13 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -0.9
Jaydon Young 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 +3.8

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton 37 7-16 0-4 2-3 4 4 2 2 0 16 12 +0.7
Devin Royal 36 6-12 2-2 4-6 8 2 1 1 0 18 18 +4.5
John Mobley Jr. 32 3-11 2-6 5-5 3 4 1 0 0 13 10 +4.7
Christoph Tilly 28 4-9 0-3 4-4 10 3 0 0 1 12 15 +6.2
Amare Bynum 27 5-11 0-2 1-1 6 1 1 0 2 11 6 -3.1
Brandon Noel 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -2.1
Colin White 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +5.4
Ivan Njegovan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 +4.7
Gabe Cupps 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 +2.6
Taison Chatman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8

* = starter