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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 69.7% 30.3% - ✗
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 ✗ (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Oziyah Sellers 33 3-8 0-1 3-3 3 3 0 1 0 9 8 -3.5
Dillon Mitchell 29 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 3 1 0 0 4 8 -2.6
Bryce Hopkins 29 4-11 1-3 4-6 3 1 3 0 1 13 8 -2.7
Ian Jackson 29 4-7 2-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 10 12 +0.5
Zuby Ejiofor 27 3-11 1-5 5-5 5 1 1 2 4 12 6 -13.7
Joson Sanon 19 0-5 0-2 12-12 2 0 2 0 2 12 9 -9.9
Rubén Prey 11 0-2 0-1 3-4 1 3 0 1 1 3 5 +4.5
Dylan Darling 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -3.5
Sadiku Ibine Ayo 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -13.5
Lefteris Liotopoulos 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -4.5

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Otega Oweh 34 6-17 0-3 8-9 5 1 3 0 3 20 9 +8.6
Denzel Aberdeen 27 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 4 4 +5.1
Malachi Moreno 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 2 8 12 -3.0
Mouhamed Dioubate 22 2-4 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 2 4 6 5 +2.0
Kam Williams 21 2-6 2-5 5-6 0 0 0 0 0 11 5 +13.2
Collin Chandler 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 1 -0.1
Jayden Quaintance 17 5-7 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 2 0 10 13 +17.9
Jaland Lowe 15 5-7 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 13 12 +19.9
Brandon Garrison 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 4 +1.1
Jasper Johnson 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -0.6
Trent Noah 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -4.1

* = starter