Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Sharp * | 38 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +1.0 |
| K. Flemings * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | -2.3 |
| M. Uzan * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +0.4 |
| C. Cenac Jr. * | 26 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +3.2 |
| J. Tugler * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +0.3 |
| I. Harwell | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| K. Sakho | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -4.9 |
| C. McCarty | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.2 |
| M. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.6 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Overton * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 7-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +1.1 |
| T. Pettiford * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +0.3 |
| K. Murphy * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -1.6 |
| E. Freeman * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +2.3 |
| K. Hall * | 29 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +6.1 |
| S. Williams-Adams | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +1.9 |
| F. Jović | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Magwood | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.5 |
| A. Bashir | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| B. Muschalek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter