Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | -7.7 | โ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | โ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | โ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -1 (72-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Sharp * | 38 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Kingston Flemings * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | -7.4 |
| Milos Uzan * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Chris Cenac Jr * | 26 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +1.5 |
| Joseph Tugler * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Isiah Harwell | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Chase McCarty | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4.4 |
| Mercy Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.1 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 7-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Tahaad Pettiford * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +6.8 |
| KeShawn Murphy * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Elyjah Freeman * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +11.0 |
| Keyshawn Hall * | 29 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +14.9 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +6.9 |
| F. Joviฤ | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Kaden Magwood | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Abdullahi Bashir | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Blake Muschalek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
* = starter