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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Baraka Okojie 35 5-15 0-6 5-6 2 4 2 0 5 15 3 -6.6
Brady Shoulders 34 7-11 4-6 3-4 8 1 1 0 0 21 20 -4.4
Zaire Williams 33 5-11 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 13 3 -8.6
Armani Mighty 31 1-5 0-0 2-5 9 0 0 1 1 4 8 -9.5
Connor Serven 28 3-8 0-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 5 -15.2
Quinton Perkins II 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 8 8 +6.7
Tristan Gross 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -1.6
Bendji Pierre 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -4.9

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Taylor 39 5-12 1-5 10-12 8 2 0 1 3 21 17 -
Blake Barkley 35 7-12 2-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 3 19 9 +12.2
Cam Morris III 32 5-14 0-2 2-3 6 1 2 3 0 12 10 +14.3
Maki Johnson 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 6 9 +10.1
Jaylen Smith 21 3-8 1-3 6-6 3 1 2 0 1 13 10 +13.8
Jordan McCullum 19 2-7 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 5 1 -1.2
Allen Strothers 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 1 6 +6.0
Gabe Sisk 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -12.0

* = starter