Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.3% | 8.7% | -12.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -25 (49-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor | 31 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Blake Barkley | 30 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +17.6 |
| Jordan McCullum | 28 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +9.7 |
| Jaylen Smith | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +12.8 |
| Cam Morris III | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +10.8 |
| Allen Strothers | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Maki Johnson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Gabe Sisk | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Isaiah Sutherland | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Henry Sisemore | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -16.2 |
| Eze Wali | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -15.5 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -16.0 |
| Braxton Williams | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -17.8 |
| Christian Moore | 23 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Simeon German | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Dante Kearse | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Logan Applegate | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.5 |
| Keynan Davis | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Marcos Gonzales | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +0.5 |
| Gabe Hernandez | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.3 |
| Chase Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.1 |
* = starter