Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Furman Paladins +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mighty | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | +1.4 |
| B. Shoulders | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | +1.2 |
| B. Okojie | 32 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | -2.1 |
| Z. Williams | 29 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Q. Perkins II | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +0.2 |
| C. Serven | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -5.2 |
| T. Gross | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| K. Cuffe Jr. | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -0.2 |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | +1.2 |
| B. VanderWal | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnston | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +9.6 |
| T. House | 32 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +5.2 |
| A. Wilkins | 32 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +6.7 |
| E. Bronson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| A. Franklin | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.3 |
| O. Ritger | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.7 |
* = starter