Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj | 36 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +2.3 |
| Hamad Mousa | 34 | 10-20 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +16.0 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Cayden Ward | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +9.6 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 21 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Austin Goode | 19 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Jake Davis | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Troy Plumtree | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Jackson Mosley | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ali Assran | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Henderson | 40 | 17-31 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 12 | -5.5 |
| Marqui Worthy | 36 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 9-14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | -1.5 |
| Ben Waller | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -5.5 |
| Osiris Grady | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -6.9 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Tyler Jones | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8.8 |
| De'Undrae Perteete | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8.8 |
| BJ Kolly | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | +6.2 |
* = starter