Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -15 (78-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Ward | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 24 | +4.5 |
| Christian Williams | 29 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 29 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Bryce Cofield | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +5.5 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4.5 |
| Landon Seaman | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Davis White | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Jaden Henderson | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Bailey Nunn | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +2.3 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 35 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -3.9 |
| Cayden Ward | 33 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | -10.7 |
| Peter Bandelj | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Jackson Mosley | 25 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Jake Davis | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 17 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Kieran Elliott | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Ali Assran | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Luka Tarlac | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter