Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 37 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -13.0 |
| Jake Davis | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -14.6 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -26.4 |
| Cayden Ward | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -18.8 |
| Luka Tarlac | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Ali Assran | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Troy Plumtree | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Austin Goode | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Eric Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Jackson Mosley | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Majstorovic | 32 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | +25.0 |
| Gavin Sykes | 32 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +10.4 |
| Rob Diaz | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +12.1 |
| Cole Farrell | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Shaquil Bender | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | +7.6 |
| Leopold Levillain | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +19.9 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +9.1 |
| JJ Chaikovsky | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.0 |
| D. Xzavierro | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.5 |
* = starter