Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 40 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Aidan Mahaney | 39 | 7-20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| CJ Shaw | 39 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Zion Sensley | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Hosana Kitenge | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Michael Simcoe | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Evans Kipruto | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Erickson | 39 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dre Bullock | 36 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Gytis Nemeiksa | 35 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Kerr | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Isaac Finlinson | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Johnson | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Harry Rouhliadeff | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Yacine Toumi | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter