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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 65.5% 34.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - ✗
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 ✗ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% - ✗

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Hunkin-Claytor 34 1-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 -14.5
Hunter Erickson 29 3-5 1-3 0-1 2 3 1 0 4 7 4 +2.8
Harry Rouhliadeff 28 5-6 1-1 2-3 2 0 2 0 1 13 10 -0.3
Gytis Nemeiksa 25 0-3 0-3 5-5 5 1 1 0 0 5 9 -10.5
Dre Bullock 23 3-8 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 7 6 -9.3
Isaiah Kerr 22 5-8 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 13 10 -0.7
Isaac Johnson 19 3-8 1-5 3-4 2 1 0 0 4 10 1 -10.0
Isaac Finlinson 12 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 -1 +2.5
Yacine Toumi 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 +0.2

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aidan Mahaney 34 6-11 3-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 17 13 +3.5
Miro Little 28 3-9 3-5 2-2 5 3 3 0 1 11 12 +8.6
CJ Shaw 27 2-3 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 2 7 4 -3.6
Colin Smith 27 4-8 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 10 9 -0.9
Zion Sensley 26 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 11 8 +16.4
Hosana Kitenge 23 6-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 2 0 2 12 11 +11.8
Marvin McGhee IV 15 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 +9.1
Evans Kipruto 13 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 +4.9
Michael Simcoe 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -7.2

* = starter