Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -20 (66-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Erickson | 34 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +10.6 |
| Gytis Nemeiksa | 28 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +2.3 |
| Aaron Hunkin-Claytor | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +12.4 |
| Dre Bullock | 26 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +12.5 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | +15.8 |
| Isaac Johnson | 20 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Isaiah Kerr | 19 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Isaac Finlinson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Yacine Toumi | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
| AJ Economou | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 34 | 6-19 | 2-13 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Cayden Ward | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Peter Bandelj | 33 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | -15.9 |
| Jackson Mosley | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Kieran Elliott | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Luka Tarlac | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Jake Davis | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Austin Goode | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Ali Assran | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Troy Plumtree | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Eric Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.0 |
* = starter