Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 33 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jake Davis | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Peter Bandelj | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jess Esso Essis | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Austin Goode | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jackson Mosley | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ali Assran | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Wilson | 33 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Connor Sevilla | 30 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | -1 | - |
| Nils Cooper | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Stokes | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Chappell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Omer Suljanovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter