Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 40 | 5-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Zion Sensley | 38 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Colin Smith | 37 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| CJ Shaw | 37 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Zachiah Clark | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Simcoe | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Evans Kipruto | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Rocak | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 30 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Connor Sevilla | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Wilson | 29 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Stokes | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Chappell | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Nils Cooper | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Omer Suljanovic | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter